China's Dry Run on a Blockade of Taiwan has Started
Plus another article for the Spectator to read, on Nancy Pelosi's visit
On Sunday my article for the Spectator caused a bit of a stir by predicting that China was possibly planning a blockade of Taiwan as a way to secure reunification without fighting. Some of the feedback I had asked me where the proof was (above and beyond the legal and operational planning that we spotted China making).
Well, now we see further evidence of this from the reaction to Nancy Pelosi’s visit - the PLA announcing six live fire zones that surround the island, looking very much like a nascent blockade. Indeed, Taipei is calling it one.
What concerns me is that this could be a reflection of an acceleration of Chinese planning re Taiwan. And why this matters is that if or when China does cut Taiwan off, then the economic ramifications on an already-strained West will be enormous. Governments and companies need all the time they can get to properly plan for such an event.
In the meantime, here is my latest article for the Spectator, discussing whether or not Nancy Pelosi’s visit will lead to conflict.
Please do comment, like, share, and subscribe. We will be back on Thursday with a new podcast discussing some of the internal strains of China.
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Just a minor correction: "blockade of Taiwan [h]as started." We've all done it before :).
Congrats on another Spectator article however. I am a regular reader of that magazine.